Will Sam Altman’s net worth exceed that of Elon Musk before 2040?
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I feel like a lot of this probability is based on Elon dying, since he's much older than Sam Altman.
https://manifold.markets/ShadowyZephyr/conditional-on-neither-dying-will-s
@donaldboyd Oh, Sam wins if Elon dies, that makes it a lot more likely
(Also I assume if Sam dies and it doesn't happen Elon wins)
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