Will the first AGI be an LLM that emulates Nobel-prize-worthy scientific research?
Mini
6
Ṁ123Dec 31
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves if and when we have a language model that generates Nobel-prize-worthy scientific research in any field and is also an agent.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI receive an IgNobel Prize in 2025?
22% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?
66% chance
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
64% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by an LLM?
35% chance
Will a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
26% chance
Will the first AGI be a large language model?
58% chance
Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?
Will the first AGI be capable of love?
57% chance