Which rider will be the next one to win all three Grand Tours?

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Ṁ2297

2050

ALL

Primoz Roglic

Egan Bernal

77%

Tadej Pogacar

Jonas Vingegaard

1.3%

Remco Evenepoel

0.8%

Geraint Thomas

0.5%

Nairo Quintana

Other

Resolves to the first cyclist to win (could be in different years) the Giro d'Italia, Tour de France and La Vuelta a España.

The last rider to do so was Chris Froome that completed winning the three Grand Tours in 2018.

Of currently active riders, Primoz Roglic and Nairo Quintana are missing the Tour de France, and Egan Bernal and Tadej Pogacar are missing La Vuelta a España. All other active riders have only won at most one Grand Tour each.

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https://velo.outsideonline.com/road/road-racing/uae-delivers-tour-de-france-dream-team-with-tadej-pogacar-yates-ayuso-almeida/

@NicoDelon TOO MANY COOKS.

answered1y

Primoz Roglic

All I gotta say is Pogacar riding the Giro HAS to increase Roglic's TDF odds. Maybe not by this much. But a little 😅

I am incapable of preserving enough mana by the time I think of this market, but I've used my entire balance twice today (8 and 9 mana) to buy Pogacar Yes. He has a great chance to win the Giro this year! I can understand people thinking that Jonas might win the Vuelta 2024 and Giro 2025, but his participation in either race is not a given.

Maybe we could end up with a Vuelta 2025 battle between Pogacar and Vingegaard to resolve this market!

Bernal is in the media claiming his biggest goal is to win the Vuelta.

I bought 5 on Roglic just for fun. If Remco decides to do Giro 2024 I would buy some Yes on him.

I think you forgot about Nairo Quintana, new Movistar rider for 2024. He has also won two out of three.

@Eliza And G isn't far off either. G will win the Giro because Pogi is boring and won't start the Giro (I never said this!) and afterwards he'll win the Vuelta by Sepping himself away from the GC favorites on a mountaintop finish.

@Lion and @Eliza 'other' is available and you can also add more entries (or just to bet on other). I see Thomas with higher chances of winning Giro+Vuelta (even next year) than Quintana ever even finishing podium on the Tour

@egroj I added Thomas

@egroj Thanks, we aren't able to add other contenders. (At least I am not)

@egroj I don't want to add Nairo. He ain't winning anything. You just forgot to mention him in the write up 😂

@Lion It must be set to only creator can add new.

@Eliza oh I see what you mean. I edited the description

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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

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