Will the levelized cost of electricity from advanced nuclear be less than $60/MWh by 2030 (in the US)?
Mini
8
Ṁ1332030
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2022 projectes the total system levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of new advanced nuclear to be $88/MWh in 2027 and $85/MWh in 2040 (excluding tax credits)
https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/electricity_generation.pdf
The Energy Innovation Reform Project estimated that the future levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of its study participants' is significantly lower: average $60/MWh, with a range of $36–90/MWh
https://www.innovationreform.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/Advanced-Nuclear-Reactors-Cost-Study.pdf
Resolves "Yes" if the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook (or equivalent reputable source) reports the current total system LCOE of advanced nuclear in the US to be less than $60/MWh [2021 dollars]
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV be less than $20/MWh by 2030?
85% chance
Nuclear power production increases in USA 2023-2033
72% chance
How much will nuclear power cost by 2040? (Price per MWe)
Will a thorium based nuclear reactor be in service for energy in the US before 2050?
60% chance
Will there be an AI data center powered by new nuclear power by 2030?
74% chance
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?
73% chance
Will EV batteries cost less than 1000 USD in 2030?
19% chance
Electricity price in the US decreases by 20% or more from 2020 levels before 2035
33% chance
How many US nuclear reactors will reopen by 2030?
What will the $/kWh price for battery cells be at the end of 2030
58