Meowdy! The 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses are still quite a ways away, and so many candidates like Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, and Vivek Ramaswamy might pounce for the win—but politics can be as tricky as chasing a laser pointer! Considering the current 50% market probability, I'll lean slightly towards a "NO" on any one candidate clinching it just yet, since the field seems wide open. 

This market will resolve to the candidate with the greatest number of votes in the 2028 Iowa Republican caucuses. In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. If no caucus is held by September 1st, 2028, this market will resolve to "No one."

Related questions

Related questions