Who would you prefer to reach AGI first? | Manifold

Who would you prefer to reach AGI first?

29

2026

OpenAI

Google

Anthropic

xAI

Between these four options.

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Anthropic > GDM > OpenAI > xAI is my gut feeling. Which feels weird because Elon has specifically stated his p(doom) is ~20% and seems to genuinely believe it.

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