Will Pirates of the Caribbean do an internet piracy themed spinoff before 2028
Will Pirates of the Caribbean do an internet piracy themed spinoff before 2028
Mini
10
Ṁ14772028
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if a movie featuring Captain Jack Sparrow and internet piracy premeries theaters before 2028
Get
1,000and
1.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will piracy make a comeback by Dec 2025?
40% chance
Will The Pirate Bay shut down at any point before 2026?
32% chance
Will some Morbius Sequel/Prequel/Spinoff release by 2030?
29% chance
Will we see another flashback of the Rocks Pirate by the end of 2024?
25% chance
What will be the most pirated movie in 2024?
Will the US pass a bill focused on stopping internet piracy by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will Johnny Depp return to Pirates of the Caribbean 6?
29% chance
Will Congress introduce a bill focused on internet piracy by the end of February 2026?
36% chance
Will there be a Squidward spin off show of Sponge Bob Square Pants released by EOY 2032?
47% chance
What will be the most pirated show in 2024?