Who will develop the first model to reach 1500 ELO on LLMArena Text leaderboard?
6
Ṁ9082027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
31%
OpenAI
5%
Anthropic
33%
Google / Deepmind
2%
Deepseek
17%
X / Grok
2%
Mistral
2%
Alibaba
2%
Meta
2%
Microsoft
2%
Resolves YES for the first company building a model that reaches 1500 on the Text Arena and NO for others.
Resolves N/A for everyone if the Text Arena is deprecated with no obvious replacement.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Model at 1600 Elo on lmarena before 2026?
19% chance
First model series to cross 1500 on lmarena.ai?
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will someone new reach 2800 Elo rating in 2025?
14% chance
GPT5 gets 1500 elo on lmarena.ai?
48% chance
Who will have the highest ranking model on web.lmarena.ai by EOY 2025?
Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard
95% chance
Who will be the first human grandmaster to have FIDE Standard ELO > 2900