147 countries are currently party to the 1967 Protocol that extended the Geneva convention signed in 1951 (see the UNHCR website).

Will any country leave the protocol by Dec 31, 2026?

This market resolves YES if a party that was previously a party to the protocol decides to leave it.

If a country splits in two and one country decides not to join within two years after being recognized by the UN, it will count as YES, otherwise, it will not be taken into account.

If two countries regroup where one was a party of the protocol and the other was not, it will count as YES if the newly form country decides not to be party to the convention.

The current list is:

Afghanistan

Albania

Algeria

Angola

Antigua and Barbuda

Argentina

Armenia

Australia

Austria

Azerbaijan

Bahamas

Belarus

Belgium

Belize

Benin

Bolivia

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Botswana

Brazil

Bulgaria

Burkina Faso

Burundi

Cabo Verde

Cambodia

Cameroon

Canada

Central African Republic

Chad

Chile

China

Colombia

Congo

Costa Rica

Côte d'Ivoire

Croatia

Cyprus

Czech Republic

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Denmark

Djibouti

Dominica

Dominican Republic

Ecuador

Egypt

El Salvador

Equatorial Guinea

Estonia

Eswatini

Ethiopia

Fiji

Finland

France

Gabon

Gambia

Georgia

Germany

Ghana

Greece

Guatemala

Guinea

Guinea-Bissau

Haiti

Holy See

Honduras

Hungary

Iceland

Iran

Ireland

Israel

Italy

Jamaica

Japan

Kazakhstan

Kenya

Kyrgyzstan

Latvia

Lesotho

Liberia

Liechtenstein

Lithuania

Luxembourg

Malawi

Mali

Malta

Mauritania

Mexico

Monaco

Montenegro

Morocco

Mozambique

Namibia

Nauru

Netherlands

New Zealand

Nicaragua

Niger

Nigeria

North Macedonia

Norway

Panama

Papua New Guinea

Paraguay

Peru

Philippines

Poland

Portugal

Republic of Korea

Republic of Moldova

Romania

Russian Federation

Rwanda

Samoa

Sao Tome and Principe

Senegal

Serbia

Seychelles

Sierra Leone

Slovakia

Slovenia

Solomon Islands

Somalia

South Africa

South Sudan

Spain

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Sudan

Suriname

Sweden

Switzerland

Tajikistan

Timor-Leste

Togo

Trinidad and Tobago

Tunisia

Türkiye

Turkmenistan

Tuvalu

Uganda

Ukraine

United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

United Republic of Tanzania

United States of America

Uruguay

Venezuela

Yemen

Zambia

Zimbabwe