Will there be a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie before 2026?
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Plus
25
Ṁ2607
2026
4%
chance

The last mainline Star Wars movie, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, was released in 2019. Rumors speak of a new movie in the works.

This market resolves positively if there is a new movie in the mainline franchise - presumably Episode X, but something out of order like Episode XIV would count too.

Star Wars Episode X
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Related market (includes any movie, not just numbered episode):

"Lucasfilm has finally announced that the December 2025 Star Wars movie is x."
https://www.msn.com/en-us/movies/news/star-wars-movie-title-announced/ar-AA19AcV4

predicts NO

@marktweise Can’t find a confirmation anywhere else that Episode X has been announced - I’m inclined to believe that that “x” was a (poorly chosen) placeholder!

"Will there be" and "if there is", is it enough for the movie to be announced? @JackGaller

@HenriThunberg No, I think it’s more interesting if it’s released somewhere in theaters, where a member of the general public could have ordered a ticket.

@JackGaller Cool, thanks. In that case I think the timeline is very tight, and current odds not that far off :)

love the AI art