Will I live to at least 1,000 years old?

Plus

Ṁ5350

2988

21%

chance

ALL

I'd like to live forever. I'm reasonably healthy, age 35, cardio exercise regularly, not overweight, don't smoke cigarettes, don't drive.

Get

1,000

and

1.00

8 Comments

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Why such modest goals?
/evergreenemily/will-i-live-until-100000

Half as likely as Daniel 😢

predicts NO

@PS Damn, Daniel

@hrdwdmrbl Not just him!

https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/will-nathanpmyoung-live-to-1000

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

12% chance. [tweet]

predicts NO

@PS I did put 888 against so I myself am really dragging down the results. Prove me wrong!! and arbitrage bigly!

predicts NO

@hrdwdmrbl For the record, it is my #1 wish to live forever, but ATM I’m not seeing a plausible path.

I’m sure this isn’t the first time Manifold has seen a market like this one, but how will you resolve this market in the event of untimely death?

predicts NO

@XTXinverseXTY My SO will have account access. Or the market will naturally go to 0 just by bets because i haven’t been seen in a couple hundred years 😄

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