Will Biden's VP assume the role of Acting President under the 25th Amendment for 24 consecutive hours during his current term?
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Jan 21
13%
chance

Will the powers of the US President be temporarily transferred from Biden to his VP (currently Kamala Harris, but in case his VP changes then whoever his then-current VP is), via 25th amendment section 3 (Biden choosing to transfer power) or section 4 (VP and Cabinet choosing to transfer power), for a duration of at least 24 consecutive hours, during Biden's current term as President?

Biden has previously transferred power "last November for 85 minutes, when Biden was under anesthesia for a routine colonoscopy" (https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/21/politics/joe-biden-covid-19/index.html)

If Biden dies or otherwise leaves office, resolves NO (his successor becomes President, not Acting President).

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Here in Brazil, if the President leaves the country, he can't be president and it's temporarily transferred to the VP. Is it the same for the US? Can the POTUS do his job (e.g: make an executive order) from abroad?
@MP yes, he can. I'm sure if he's kidnapped or something there are special provisions for that, but in general the president is still the president when abroad.
@MattP Interesting, good to know. Ty!
predicts NO
@MattP Yeah, nothing special about the president being abroad. The provision for if he's kidnapped or otherwise incapacitated is section 4 of the 25th amendment.
@jack Thinking about it, the Brazilian rule is dumb. (and can create weird outcomes when there is no vp)
Base rate: this has never happened in US history. The 25th amendment was adopted in 1967 (so there have been ~14 terms since then) and section 3 has been invoked a handful of times for short medical procedures <24 hours. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twenty-fifth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution#Invocations_and_considered_invocations