Will the International Space Station be functional and crewed in 2025?
Plus
26
Ṁ22662026
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background: The ISS is currently scheduled to operate through 2024. The US has extended its participation through 2030: https://www.space.com/congress-approves-iss-extension-2030-chips-act. However, Russia says it is planning to withdraw from the International Space Station after 2024. https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/26/world/russia-quit-iss-scn/index.html
Resolves YES if there is at least 1 crew member aboard the International Space Station on December 31 2025.
See https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/expeditions/index.html or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_International_Space_Station_expeditions for information on the ISS crew.
Related: https://manifold.markets/jack/will-there-be-fewer-than-2-russian
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2025?
97% chance
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2030?
65% chance
Will Starlab Space Station be crewed before the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?
70% chance
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2029?
73% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
34% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?
71% chance
Will there be fewer than 2 Russian cosmonauts in the International Space Station crew in December 2025?
36% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2050?
72% chance
Will International Space Station be in orbit on January 1, 2030?
78% chance