Resolves YES if the US Congress passes something related to civilian ownership and use of guns, after February 14, 2024 and before the end of 2024. This could be gun safety, gun control, or new laws to make it easier to get guns.
The law has to pass the US Congress (House and Senate). The market still resolves Yes if the law is vetoed by the President. The market still resolves Yes if the law is found to be unconstitutional. It does not have to take effect within 2024, it just has to be passed by Congress in 2024.
Executive action don't count. Laws relating to military or police use of guns don't count. Budgets that fund existing agencies don't count. If you're not sure if a law would count, ask in comments.
Example that would count if passed: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2024/02/14/statement-from-president-joe-biden-on-todays-deadly-gun-violence/
(This is a follow-up to the 2022 market https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-the-us-congress-pass-gun-legis)
1,000
1.00@Eliza Boosting again because the percentage has actually shifted a notable amount in the hour after the first boost.