Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)?
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3%
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Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030 (pacific time), the pope confirms that Jesus has returned. Resolves NO otherwise.
May resolve N/A if there is no pope and, in my judgement, if there were a pope he might confirm that Jesus has returned.
Market idea from https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-82823/comment/39215917
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