METR releases Claude 4.5 Opus results before Gemini 3 results? | Manifold

METR releases Claude 4.5 Opus results before Gemini 3 results?

10

Ṁ225

Dec 24

61%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Update 2025-12-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If both Claude 4.5 Opus results and Gemini 3 results are released simultaneously, the market will resolve NO.

#AI model releases

#Upcoming releases

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

Will this N/A or resolve 50% if both are released simultaneously?

@JaySocrates it would resolve NO

Related questions

Opus 4.5's METR time horizon beats Gemini 3.0 Pro's?

Will the Gemini 3.0 Pro METR score release in 2025?

-6% 1d61% chance

Opus 4.5's METR time horizon beats GPT-5.1's?

Claude Opus 4.5's METR-50 time horizon

Will Claude 3.5 Opus be available via API by end of 2025?

Google Gemini 4 release date?

Related questions

Opus 4.5's METR time horizon beats Gemini 3.0 Pro's?

Claude Opus 4.5's METR-50 time horizon

Will the Gemini 3.0 Pro METR score release in 2025?

Will Claude 3.5 Opus be available via API by end of 2025?

Opus 4.5's METR time horizon beats GPT-5.1's?

Google Gemini 4 release date?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules