I’ve heard Terrence Tao is the equivalent of a rockstar in mathematics.

@JamesF

Rick Sanchez

Rick Rosner

Smarter in math

Rana I'm a 100 IQ super genius, I'm probably not gonna win this.

@jim but is IQ a reliable measure of G

@RanaG I stay sane by appreciating the little things in life. Coffee in the morning, nice weather on a Saturday, people distinguishing G from IQ; the usual stuff.

I hate how the IQ debate often gets framed: "Is IQ real or are intelligence differences fake?" This is a dumb dichotomy that makes it feel like we're still in the f-ing 19th century debating between tabula raza and phrenology.

Obviously some people are smarter than others. It's just IQ is a shit measure of that difference. We can't even agree on a single definition of intelligence, let alone a unified way of measuring it. G isn't a perfect solution, but at least it acknowledges proficiencies in a variety of intellectual tasks correlate without trying to squeeze the complexity of intelligence into a one-dimensional spectrum.

I think Hanania said that women are lower G than men

@jim if polls didn't revert back to 100 mana I'd make a poll related to that.

Anyway, IDK the statistics behind it, but it seems our current IQ tests kinda suck at accurately discerning intelligence for people who score 120+ IQ (SD 15).

@jim where did Hanania say that?

Also I don't believe that's true, I think the difference between men are women in measured cognition stem from the difference of incentives and motivation to performance

@RanaG https://www.richardhanania.com/p/are-men-smarter-than-women

Why? Because difference between men and women phenotype happens through exclusively one channel: hormones. And there is no reason to believe that evolution would systematically design the brain to respond to Estrogen with becoming less sophisticated nor to Androgen by becoming more sophisticated

@jim seems like boys get more intelligent as they get more competitive

My prior is that it's just a motivation difference

Erm... The resolution criteria on this market seem quite hard to implement.

@Schwabilismus Nah, it's pretty easy for an ASI to get really accurate results.

@jim source?

@Schwabilismus logic. Brains are pretty similar to each other. Variation is pretty limited. Social media, books, other recordings, anecdotes, stories... the data is more than enough to figure out roughly what the person's brain is like.

@jim this seems widely overconfident

@Schwabilismus if you wanna make a market on it, we can bet

@jim how would the resolution criteria on such a market look like?

@Schwabilismus if everyone just trusted the criteria and that the market will resolve to the truth, then the market will resolve to the truth (by being efficient everyday)

@RanaG Yes, the criteria are the problems.