it has to take a step for it to count
Update 2025-13-01 (PST): - If both humanoid robots and biological humans are part of the same mission, the market will resolve as 'yes' if the robots take a step before the humans. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-16-01 (PST): - Humanoid robots with wheels for feet will count as setting foot if they take a step with their wheels or roll on them. (AI summary of creator comment)
1,000
1.00Would a humanoid robot with wheels for feet count as setting foot? They can roll on those wheels or step with them. Context: https://x.com/kyleichan/status/1819824220060446932
If humanoid robots and humans were on the same mission but the robots were let out first, would this market resolve as 'yes'?
This market should be strictly higher than this one, I think.
https://manifold.markets/Daniel_MC/will-an-optimus-robot-walk-on-mars
50% seems high to me. What is the utility of sending a humanoid robot to mars? There are more robust form factors (e.g., quadrupeds) that can cover varied terrain and don’t require solving the problem of bipedal motion in mars gravity.
@Lamnidae created this market for you: https://manifold.markets/Ammar/will-a-legged-robot-mission-set-foo?play=true
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00