Now that Wagner group is going to be disbanded, this seems to be a market in whether the creator thinks that past events qualify as a coup.

/Jack_Rose/will-the-wagner-group-still-exist-b

/NickelChen/will-the-wagner-private-military-be

@johnleoks It looks like you believe past events don't qualify as a coup? Pease confirm in market description. You may also want to resolve early.

should resolve already imo

@harfe Wagner boss has so far insisted that it's no a rebellion/coup. Unless you have evidence otherwise.

@johnleoks Man I need to learn my lesson with resolution criteria. The FT at least is reporting and classifying this as a coup: “It was the first coup attempt in Russia for three decades.” - https://www.ft.com/content/eb029083-ff02-4a8a-87ab-7813e5c01f11

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@johnleoks Also even if he successfully pulled off a coup I doubt he would personally call it that

@TedS Where's the evidence?