How will Netanyahu leave office?
Mini
19
Ṁ2072
2028
13%
Knesset finishes its four year term, and he loses next election
29%
Knesset votes itself out, and he loses next election
1.2%
He resigns
10%
Vote of constructive non-confidence
10%
He dies of natural causes
3%
He is assassinated
33%
Other

Resolves as soon as Netanyahu is not prime minister of Israel.

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If the budget legislation fails to pass on deadline, which leads to the dissolving of the Knesset, will it resolved as “Knesset votes itself out” or “Other”?

@Lemming sounds like other to me, but I’m open to being convinced otherwise (before it happens)

@josharian I’ve increased my bid on other assuming you will resolve other in that case. I believe it is highly likely to happen like this in 2026.

Knesset votes itself out, and he loses next election

This one is impossible under the current Knesset rules. They removed this kind of no-confidence vote

bought Ṁ10 Vote of constructive... NO

@Shump How so? I believe the Knesset can still dissolve itself

@Shump I’ve verified this. 61 PMs or more can definitely vote the Knesset out.

Source (Hebrew): https://www.idi.org.il/articles/39151

Other

Coalition crisis leads to early elections, as always.

bought Ṁ15 Knesset finishes its... YES

@Shump But won’t such a crisis simply lead to an election by a vote? How is this “other”?

NYT, just now:

Despite plummeting popularity, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel has made clear he has no intention of resigning after the war in Gaza ends.