25% chance. Next month's version of this failed market: https://manifold.markets/xyz/will-manifold-fix-the-random-profit Will resolve according to the original criteria, quoting: It seemed for a period like the old bug where the profits seem to spike and dip at random times for no apparent reason was gone. But now it's returned with a vengeance. The spikes are rarer, but still very noticeable. Will I have any unexplainable spikes left by the end of July? [image]This is my profits from the last week, with the mysterious spikes, for reference. [link preview]