Will West Papua be independent by 2030? | Manifold

Will West Papua be independent by 2030?

Plus

8

Ṁ565

2030

29%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves Yes, if the western half of New Guinea belonging to Indonesia becomes independent/ more than 50% of UN members recognise the country.

#Collective Autonomy

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1,000

and

1.00

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