How many people will cross from Gaza into Egypt through the Rafah crossing by the end of 2024

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Ṁ4309

Jan 14

ALL

1.8%

0 - 2,000

11%

2,001 - 10,000

27%

10,001 - 50,000

34%

50,001 - 100,000

23%

100,000 - 1,000,000

> 1M

This will resolve based on the total number of people that cross the Rafah border as reported by a major publication, including the New York Times, Al Jazeera, BBC or another based on my discretion. If multiple numbers are reported, I will choose one based on my discretion. Only one outcome will be chosen. For example, if the number reported is 60,000 only "50,001 - 100,000" will be chosen.

Example article: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/1/egypt-opens-rafah-crossing-for-limited-number-of-gaza-patients

#🇮🇱 Israel

#Gaza

#🇵🇸 Palestine

Get

1,000

and

1.00

11 Comments

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Current estimate is 8,000-10,000, by the Border Authority of Gaza:

https://www.haaretz.co.il/news/politics/2024-05-07/ty-article/.premium/0000018f-53ce-d662-a7af-7bfe64b60000?utm_source=App_Share&utm_medium=Android_Native&utm_campaign=Share

bought Ṁ50 100,000 - 1,000,000 YES

You are kidding right? It is already more then 100k that left from rafah border

bought Ṁ45 100,000 - 1,000,000 NO

@CarmelHadar What scenariodo you envision in which egypt would allow more than 100k to cross?

@Shai the scenario that they get paid for it enough money.

This is already happening.

https://m.jpost.com/opinion/article-792595

It's going to be tough to find a number for this since most people cross illegally by bribing border guards.

@Shump There are some estimates, such as: https://news.sky.com/story/the-price-of-freedom-the-company-making-millions-from-gazas-misery-13081454

@Shump

Each Gazan pay 5000$ to Egyptian company.

There is no way to cross illegally

@CarmelHadar Those companies are not operating legally. They are brokers who pay off Egyptian officials. It's not enforced though. A-Sisi encourages this kind of corruption.

@Shump
well its funny to define this thing as illegal.
i bet that most of the money goes directly to the Egyptian government (500 million dollars).
I see your point cuz its against the law of Egypt, but still, its absurd. the guy who manages the company is a friend of a-sisi.

anyway, it must be more then 100K now, even tho it probably will stop now when IDF got the Rafah Cross

bought Ṁ10 50,001 - 100,000 YES

Netanyahu orders Rafah evacuation ahead of expected ground invasion

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