In Hollywood, the math goes that a movie needs to make twice its budget to not be considered a flop (Hollywood math is wild, but this is to cover marketing, distribution and other “final mile” costs).
The reported budget for Wicked (just Part One) is $145million (per Wikipedia). Accordingly, it’d have to make at least $290M worldwide to be considered profitable.
Will Wicked (2024) make less than $290M in its initial theatrical run? Is Ariana’s Oz flick going to be a flop?
Note: If there is an updated budget for the film (higher or lower), this market will continue with double the upper bound of that new range.
See other flop markets:
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1.00@RoddyMacSween this is only Part One (2024).
Part Two has an even bigger budget, and (depending on the part one box office) i may make another market for the sequel. https://x.com/wickedupdate/status/1650125350444101637
@RoddyMacSween and the revenue source will be the reported worldwide box office. All reporting is typically the same these days, but I use BoxOfficeMojo (the embedded link in the description)