Current polls have him tied with leading opposition, I still believe he's more likely to win but not 70% likely, so I'm buying some NO.

53% of all Hungarians want change of government:

https://telex.hu/belfold/2024/07/18/median-fidesz-tisza-part-12-szazalek-kulonbseg

Orban landslided the country i doubt there will be another chance unless gyurcsany comes back