Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
Mini
28
Ṁ4075
2027
18%
Fabiano Caruana
18%
Hikaru Nakamura
14%
Praggnanandhaa R
8%
Arjun Erigaisi
7%
Alireza Firouzja
6%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
4%
Other
3%
Magnus Carlsen
3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
1.9%
Gukesh D
1.5%
Vincent Keymer
1.5%
Wei Yi
1%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
1%
Vidit Santosh Gujrathi
1%
Ding Liren

This market refers to this event:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament

An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.

I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.

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