Will I weigh under 200 lbs on 2024-12-31? (-1.55 lbs/week)
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resolved Jan 1
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This morning I weighed 245.5 lbs according to my bathroom scale. Will I weigh under 200 lbs according to my bathroom scale on 2024-12-31?

I'm 50% successful on these months-long attempts, and the latest one seems unattainable, so let's try it again! As it's a commitment aid, I'll only bet and hold yes (and may bet past my personal belief, as long as I think it'll help motivate me).

I plan to provide an update in the comments at least once a month. If I forget to weigh in on 2024-12-31 I'll interpolate linearly between the closest weights before and after.

2024-06-08: 245.5 lbs

2024-07-04: 248.8 lbs

2024-08-01: 232.1 lbs

2024-09-01: 225.2 lbs

2024-10-01: 225.2 lbs

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242.1 lbs this morning. Previous weight was 243.2 on the 21st. That's a No. Thanks for participating everyone! Haven't decided yet if I'll reattempt here or some other way.

@phaen shame, I can only advise on a retry as losing weight really changed my life

@phaen you got to a pretty close pace at some point. why did you fail? i'm guessing consistency, but what's the actual reason ?

@TheWabiSabi same, i tried and failed like 4 years straight mostly cause i was so desperate and short term focused but finally accepting myself as a starting point, and realizing the long path was the shorter one, and the accumulated lessons of all past failures allowed me a breakthrough on my 5th serious attempt. and yes, it absolutely is worth it

@dlin007 same. One day it all just clicked. It's not a diet, it's a different way of eating for the rest of your life. More mindfull. And that doesn't mean no snack, cookies or whatever your love is. For me smaller portions was the biggest changes. Even when I stopped with my diet is still lost 10 more pounds over 2 years.

@TheWabiSabi yes, sustainability is key imo. i initially tried calorie counting cause it appealed to the nerd in me and seemed the most exact but i detested how it would dominate my day and the lack of flexibility and sustainability. then i tried fasting which worked some, then eventually i paired it with some metabolic flexibility hacking - basically teaching my body to tolerate hunger without becoming ravenous. so stuff like zone 2 cardio, walking a lot, cutting out simple carbs, high protein, veggies etc the result was i could fast longer and longer very easily, but even when i ate i did not feel the need to stuff myself. but the actual "breakthrough" for me was deciding i was literally just fine even being overweight and that modest weight loss was already very good for me. then i could accept slow weight loss over a year, as opposed to trying for fast, unsustainable weight loss that backfired like clockwork.

@dlin007 uhu, slow weight-loss all the way, and walking as one of my best lessons. It's an activity where you don't become hungry

2024-10-01: 225.2 lbs. I got down to 221.5 during the month, but had a rough week and a half at the end of it. Let's see if I can treat the new month as a reset point.

@phaen 25 pounds should be doable in 3 months, what can we expect the last month?

How are you doing?

Do you plan on using means that would lower your weight at the very moment you go on the scale while not being a true stable weight loss ? (e.g getting dehydrated)

@Mich Not intentionally. I won't be doing anything special at or leading up to the last weighing (and I haven't for the monthly ones I have been posting here). I'll just follow my normal daily routine.

If I miss by half a pound or something, so be it; I'm not interested in gaming the number.

2024-09-01: 225.2 lbs. If I keep up August's pace I should (barely) make it, so my goal for September is to build enough of a buffer that I can take a few days off at the holidays if I want.

bought Ṁ500 YES

Don’t let me down! I believe in you.

2024-08-01 was 232.1 lbs

248.8 today. Wrong direction!

are you opposed to taking semaglutide?

Not entirely. But even if I go that route, I'll have to figure out how to sustain things after going off it anyway, so I'm focusing on that first. I might reconsider when supply shortages aren't so frequent.

@phaen finding a new lifestyle that you can sustain is the key. I wish you all the luck with your attempt. I lost 30 ponds two years ago and still am at the same weight after I stopped my diet fase. Learning to understand my portions were too big, not that I was eating wrong things made a big mental change.