When will Bitcoin hit $150K?
20
Ṁ21k
2026

Invalid contract

Resolution Criteria:

The market resolves “Yes” resolves to the month (in PT) when Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $150,000 USD at any point between Jul 11, 2025 and Jun 30, 2026 at 23:59 PT, based on data from Coinbase. The price must be reflected as the high price in any 1-minute candlestick during this tenure.

If Bitcoin does not hit $150K during this time, the market resolves “N/A.”

Resolution Date & Time: Jun 30, 2026, at 23:59 PT, or earlier if Bitcoin crosses $150K at any time during the tenure.

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IMO, not before 2028, maybe even 2029.

@Primer Just created a new market, I think this new market is better. On this one, I had to manually add Before and After 2026

@predyx_markets Thank you so much!

So the code seems to just somehow figure it out from some reasonable text.

Could you, in principle, change and/or add answers now?

@Primer I don't think you can add new options in scalar date market unlike the multi-option range markets. But it does allow you to edit the text of the option after creation of market, I haven't tried editing though.

@predyx_markets I guess for this market type you couldn't have added a "not before July 2026" option, correct? (Asking because I'm having a hard time figuring out date type markets)

@Primer I created this market in the early days when date market was just released and was still figuring it out.

I just created a test market to test your use case. It actually works. You can manually add "After <date/year>"

Please see this example test market, I had to manually add "After 2026": https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/date-market-test?r=cHJlZHl4X21hcmtldHM

Before, predicting the exact date of the first time or will every month BTC crosses $150,000 resolve YES?

bought Ṁ1 Answer #NO

@predyx_markets unfortunately it's N/A if it doesn't by next June, good to clarify in description and title.

@predyx_markets also missing a source of truth and timezone

@deagol Thanks, updated. Does it look good?

bought Ṁ62 Answer #NO

@predyx_markets

The market resolves “Yes” if... [>150k]

should say it resolves to the month (in PT) when it happens. also I'd just mention the high not high/low, since the low is irrelevant here.

@deagol updated, how does it look now?