WORLD PROP BETS
136
Ṁ63k
2099
29%
This market prompts a Manifold change to better support markets with many options
Resolved
YES
Mentions his health
Resolved
YES
Trump answers at least 1 question
Resolved
YES
Trump will mention how beautiful a woman is, that is NOT Melania.
Resolved
YES
Press conference happens.
Resolved
YES
Trump mentions J.D. Vance
Resolved
YES
Criticises one or more judge / judicial ruling
Resolved
YES
promotes his or his family's private ventures (eg speaks positively of trump coin or his golf courses)
Resolved
YES
Mentions crime
Resolved
YES
Mentions Los Angeles
Resolved
YES
Mentions Chicago
Resolved
YES
Does a hand gesture (any)
Resolved
YES
Mentions Biden's health
Resolved
YES
Department of Defense mentioned
Resolved
YES
Mentions anything about the US Space Force (eg. Space Command moving from Colorado to Alabama)
Resolved
YES
Says “frankly”
Resolved
YES
Trump mentions Gavin Newsom
Resolved
YES
Trump mentions China
Resolved
YES
Trump mentions Russia
Resolved
YES
Trump mentions India

WORLD PROP BETS -- a 24/7 Manifold news livestream.

Test run on Saturday, September 6 from 9am-5pm ET. We'll need the @mods to help resolve!

If you see answers that should be resolved, please tag the @mods so they can resolve it for you.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 Answer #ysRzIAgIAN YES

@traders Big news:

This market is going to become "WORLD PROP BETS". The goal is an eventual 24/7 livestream of ABC News Live on Manifold with live betting. We are doing a trial run on Saturday where Manifold TV will be in the sidebar. Please participate! (This has been allowed by @SG, so don't worry about any rule violations.)

Is the livestream up and running? I don't see anything but maybe I'm just dumb.

@MRME Yeah, TV is not in the sidebar anymore and this isn't really going anywhere, so i think i am gonna N/A

bought Ṁ30 Answer #ysRzIAgIAN NO

@ManifoldChallenge at least resolve the e happens to no

@ManifoldChallenge actually several of these should be resolved no instead of NA

Why does the comment text box ask "What is your prediction?", and what happened to the chart? The lines dissapear very early.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen This sounds more like an ian problem than mine

@realDonaldTrump solved the chart thing, it was just markets that had resolved N/A, and other markets staying open, to advance the timeline of the chart.

Hm, why did this get unranked? I just went from 1st in my league to last lmao

@retr0id did something go wrong with yesterday's update of trader bonuses and league profits from one's own markets?

@HenriThunberg @retr0id I think it might have, now we're getting bonuses of 3 instead of 15 😭

@ian @SirSalty check on this pls

@realDonaldTrump multiple choice markets with 25 liquidity per answer were only ever supposed to get 3 mana per answer

@ian How much liquidity would need to be added (not thru new answers, just adding it and it being distributed across all answers) for trader bonus to bump up to 10 but answers still cost Ṁ25, if this is even possible?

sorry, i don't know a lot about the math behind manifold.

@realDonaldTrump Unfortunately that's not possible. The trader bonuses scale with liquidity per answer (or per market for non multichoice markets). For M10 bonuses, answers have to cost M100, for M15 bonuses, answers have to cost M1000.

@ian good to know.

Is/can this information displayed at market creation so new creators know what to expect?

@ShitakiIntaki We do that for the trader bonuses. We don't put the cost per answer unless you hit the max answers included in the liquidity, (in which case adding answers beyond cost the per answer amount). Do you think you want the per-answer cost displayed somewhere on the creation page?

@ian maybe just some reminder text when a decision that will influence trader bonuses is being made.

@MRME How will this be determined?

sold Ṁ5 Answer #EE6tEPz6lO NO

@retr0id That's what I just commented below...

bought Ṁ5 Answer #EE6tEPz6lO YES

@realDonaldTrump heh, couldn't see because the comments weren't loading

@retr0id based on @realDonaldTrump . I’ll take his word for it - not asking for proof.

@MRME Is this me or the real DJT? How can this be confirmed?

@realDonaldTrump it’s you. I assume you can resolve it.

@MRME got it...

jsyk i am not going to be on manifold for the whole thing, mods will be resolving a lot of it.

@Robincvgr obviously have a stake in this but seems like this should be resolved N/A since this became another market entirely