Large states redistrict before 2026 midterms?
18
Ṁ13k2026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
15%
None of Texas, California, and New York
1.5%
Texas, but neither California nor New York
19%
California or New York, but not Texas
65%
Texas, as well as California or New York
Only redistricting that take effect before the midterms counts.
Update 2025-11-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait until the midterms (November 2026) to resolve this market, rather than resolving when redistricting events occur earlier.
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@traders Have the redistrictings "happened" such that this market should resolve? Conditions could still change between now and the midterms (i.e. there's a lawsuit against Calif seeking to block prop 50), but the wording on this seems to be for redistricting events, rather than the final state on election day.
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