This is @Joshua's market with a longer fuse because so far, it doesn't seem like the King has died or resigned today: /Joshua/short-fuse-is-king-charles-either-d

Rumours have been swirling in the Twitterverse (and the TikTokosphere?) about King Charles: Is he dead? Is he dying? Will he imminently announce his abdication?

In February the Palace announced that King Charles had been diagnosed with prostate cancer. Reportedly his cancer was caught early and he is undergoing treatment, but he is 75 years old. He recently missed attending a ceremony, instead recording a video address, but he says he is determined to attend the Trooping the Colours event in June to commemorate the birth of the British Sovereign.

Still, anything can happen in 2024:

/Joshua/universal-death-market-which-public has a 23% chance of his death
/SimonGrayson/in-which-year-will-king-charles-iii is at 18% for him ceding the throne

Resolves Yes if either death (by any means) or abdication before 2024 ends in the UK.