Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
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Jan 2
9%
Jean-Marie Le Pen
9%
Jimmy Carter (99)
8%
Ali Khamenei
8%
Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud
7%
Sonny Rollins
6%
Noam Chomsky (95)
6%
Buzz Aldrin
6%
Dick Van Dyke (98)
6%
George Soros
5%
David Attenborough (97)
5%
Clint Eastwood
5%
Eva Marie Saint
5%
Chuck Grassley
5%
Mel Brooks (97)
5%
Mitch McConnell
5%
Chevy Chase
5%
Ramzan Kadyrov (47)
5%
Bruce Willis
5%
William Shatner
5%
Patrick Stewart

Feel free to submit the names of any living public figures you think people would be interested in knowing the odds of survival for. Any duplicates or non-public-figures will be N/A-ed. If someone on this list has died, I will resolve their name to YES. At the end of 2024, all remaining names will resolve to NO.

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Jimmy Carter (99)

@Joshua He is a goner! No way he is making it through all this.

ohh - rest in peace, queen 🧑

bought αΉ€100 Ali Khamenei NO

Maybe add:

Princes Beatrix, former queen of The Netherlands (86)

sold αΉ€0 Answer #166beb658fc1 NO

@Joshua Ismail Haniyeh and Mohammed Deif are confirmed dead at this point though multiple outlets

Comment hidden

RIP Bob 🫑 🧑

πŸ‘€

Oh wow first time I've seen Wikipedia jump the gun on a "was"

πŸ˜πŸ”«

sold αΉ€59 Noam Chomsky (95) NO

We've been Noam-ed

bought αΉ€500 Jimmy Carter (99) YES

I mean honestly, he's 95 and had a massive stroke. It's not looking good for making it through 2024.

Noam Chomsky (95)
bought αΉ€2,881 Noam Chomsky (95) YES

Misresolve? Seems to have been changed back

Ugh

An article said he died and then changed its title and removed mentions of his death

I literally waited for the Wikipedia update because other sources are full of shit lol rip2me

Jimmy Carter is a tank wrapped in a decent man's clothes. He just reached 99 and 2/3 yrs old! 17 days away from his 100 day countdown to 100.

Jimmy gang stays winning

Please consider adding Willie Nelson after the next cull. He has even self-memed about it β€œThe Internet said I had passed away”

https://youtu.be/J34esa_aJxc?feature=shared

I'm not sure why some of these entries were N/A-ed - Steven Spielberg, for example.

@ZaneMiller Manifold changed the rules about how many options could be in a market and people had added a bunch of options taking up space that I thought made the market worse