Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
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369
αΉ210kJan 2
1D
1W
1M
ALL
9%
Jean-Marie Le Pen
9%
Jimmy Carter (99)
8%
Ali Khamenei
8%
Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud
7%
Sonny Rollins
6%
Noam Chomsky (95)
6%
Buzz Aldrin
6%
Dick Van Dyke (98)
6%
George Soros
5%
David Attenborough (97)
5%
Clint Eastwood
5%
Eva Marie Saint
5%
Chuck Grassley
5%
Mel Brooks (97)
5%
Mitch McConnell
5%
Chevy Chase
5%
Ramzan Kadyrov (47)
5%
Bruce Willis
5%
William Shatner
5%
Patrick Stewart
Feel free to submit the names of any living public figures you think people would be interested in knowing the odds of survival for. Any duplicates or non-public-figures will be N/A-ed. If someone on this list has died, I will resolve their name to YES. At the end of 2024, all remaining names will resolve to NO.
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Jimmy Carter (99)
@Joshua Ismail Haniyeh and Mohammed Deif are confirmed dead at this point though multiple outlets
Noam Chomsky (95)
Please consider adding Willie Nelson after the next cull. He has even self-memed about it βThe Internet said I had passed awayβ
@ZaneMiller Manifold changed the rules about how many options could be in a market and people had added a bunch of options taking up space that I thought made the market worse
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