https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/21/us/politics/tim-scott-engaged.html

as much as I'd love to profit off this, the Ye/Bianca marriage was confirmed here before market creation

@shankypanky So that was like right before market creation and at the time I made a comment saying I wasn't counting it as official until it was on Wikipedia. It's actually still not on Wikipedia, so maybe Pagesix/Daily Mail were wrong?

@Joshua ah oops - I didn't read down to earlier comments

Bezos is already engaged

https://people.com/human-interest/jeff-bezos-engaged-lauren-sanchez/

@aimless_intent this market was created after that engagement was publicized so he would need to get engaged again before 26 for him to resolve as YES

@KnowNothing

If a public figure suddenly announces they got married without having previously publicized the engagement, that also counts as YES.

Then why would this resolve as YES?

@aimless_intent it wouldn't. i assumed you were saying that it would make it resolve YES bc of the recently bought Bezos shares next to your name.

@Joshua can you comment on this edge case?

@aimless_intent Ah, I said Unwed in the description when I should have said Unwed or Unengaged. I'm inclined to N/A Bezos if he's already engaged. Any objections to that?

@Joshua no objections from me

I wanted to submit him but apparently they got married already (not quite sure how confirmed that is).

Ohhh this is a fun edge case! I don't think it's confirmed enough to N/A it!

If wikipedia starts listing him as married I'll resolve his name Yes.

@Joshua It’s Ye, not Yes.

I know he might get divorced, but per the criteria he's not currently unwed so this N/As

@Joshua oh oops, sorry for not reading carefully

You can resubmit him if a divorce happens 😅

@Joshua

@Joshua isn't the same true for Yud? I thought he's been married (in an open relationship) for a while now?

Obviously it occurs to me that we live in a bizarre time where anyone would know any of these things about a person they've never met but here we are 😅

@shankypanky Oh I had no idea, I thought he was just partnered but unwed.

@Joshua whatever weight you can give a site called "FactsBuddy"...

https://factsbuddy.com/eliezer-yudkowsky/

@shankypanky Oh, I do think that is out of date. I remember him not being with Brienne anymore but I could be wrong.

bros hating

The base rates are low! So low I actually just decided last minute to edit this and give it another year so it's more possible.

See previously: /Joshua/universal-death-market-which-public

I'm submitting and N/A-ing Jimmy here myself to head off the inevitable 😅

@Joshua well he's single now