Is Eliezer Yudkowsky a doomer?
96
Jan 1
Yes, a doomer
No, not a doomer
I've never heard of this person
Is Eliezer Yudkowsky a member of the Rationalist "doomer" subculture?
This poll is purely for calibration purposes, to verify the notability criteria for this market:
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1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
63% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Destiny have another in-depth discussion before the end of 2024?
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Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on the DarkHorse Podcast by 2025?
6% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?
31% chance
Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
51% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
21% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?
14% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?
21% chance
If Eliezer Yudkowsky dies, will he die of "old age"-related causes?
72% chance
Eliezer Yudkowsky p(Doom) stock
70