Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2030?
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2030
67%
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Refer to the winners of /singer/who-are-the-top-10-ai-researchers-a

This market resolves YES if one of the 10 winners of the above market claim that we are in a "winter" for AI at any time before 2030. Here are the names:

  • Ilya Sutskever

  • Yann LeCun

  • Andrej Karpathy

  • Yoshua Bengio

  • Geoffrey Hinton

  • Jürgen Schmidhuber

  • Alec Radford

  • Paul Christiano

  • Demis Hassabis

  • Eliezer Yudkowsky

The statement needs to be unambiguous and officially given by the person. Twitter is fine, but private conversations don't count.

I won't be betting in this market.

Related markets:

/singer/will-one-of-these-ai-researchers-cl
/singer/will-one-of-these-ai-researchers-cl-cb787d497aeb

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Knowing Yann LeCun, if you nudge him the right way I think you can get him to say we are currently in an AI winter