
Will any Manifold markets created in 2023 be resolved in 2050 by the original author?
Mini
16
Ṁ12922050
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are lots of markets ending in 2050.
Resolves N/A if Manifold changes such that creators are no longer able to resolve markets (e.g. if AI does it).
Get
1,000and
1.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold market creators and maintainers have the ability to manage their markets well, by mid 2025?
20% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
59% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
89% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?
73% chance
Will Manifold users stop requesting site changes via market creation by 2026?
7% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?
84% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
50% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
82% chance
When will the final resolved market on Manifold be resolved?
Will a silly Manifold market wipe out humanity before 2030?
1% chance