Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023? | Manifold

Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?

Plus

34

Ṁ1981

2030

69%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://www.economist.com/leaders/2023/08/31/how-to-stop-a-three-way-nuclear-arms-race

2023 (the "Total" column):

How to stop a three-way nuclear arms-race

America, China and Russia must agree on mutual restraints before it’s too late | Leaders

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1,000

and

1.00

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Note that warheads exploded before 2030 do not count for this market's resolution.

https://archive.is/zL0XF

I've done some markets based of the New Statesman a while ago,

Interested in more markets themed around The Economist articles. Thanks for creating this

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+7% 1d16% chance

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Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated on a civilian or military target by 2030?

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