🌭What will happen in July 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

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Ṁ2254

Aug 1

ALL

99%

Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%

99%

Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month

98.4%

Sam Altman still CEO through end of month

97%

dick cheney still alive at end of month

96%

at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it

92%

Tumbles is late to pay back a loan https://manifold.markets/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba

90%

trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times

79%

large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement

76%

nyc receives 3 or more inches of rain

75%

noam chomsky alive until end of month

69%

a tesla catches fire as reported by mainstream news

59%

A tornado in the U.S. rated EF3 or greater.

53%

earthquake 7.0+ magnitude

43%

Any mass size protest will happen

41%

Anthropic or Meta release a new model

41%

silksong game release date announced

37%

Hurricane landfalls in Florida

37%

israel hamas ceasefire

33%

100F temperature in nyc at least one day

31%

earthquake 7.5 magnitude or higher

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bought Ṁ30 Answer #pOhIQlunRZ YES

@strutheo https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/stock-market-today-sp-500-nasdaq-leap-to-fresh-records-as-vietnam-trade-deal-boosts-hopes-ahead-of-key-jobs-report-230021146.html

@strutheo
NVidia $3.885B market cap per https://companiesmarketcap.com/ at closing price $159.34 but highest today 160.98 so $3.925B reached today.

Apple $3.189B at closing price of $213.55 but peak price was $260.09 so peak market cap $3.884B
Microsoft $3.707B at closing price of $498.84 peak value $500.76 so peak market cap $3.72B

So I think this resolves yes.

bought Ṁ50 Answer #ZSCyEU82OS NO

@strutheo was announced in March 2025

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