Which chess engine will be the strongest at the end of 2031?
Which chess engine will be the strongest at the end of 2031?
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Ṁ23422032
1D
1W
1M
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68%
Stockfish
18%
14%
LCZero
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answered1y
Stockfish
bought Ṁ5 Stockfish YES1y
The fish was pretty dominant for the last ten years, don't underestimate the power of a popular open source project.
Also, large neural networks are pretty expensive in terms of compute for many competitions
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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