biden dropped out

jd vance bump

Roughly identical market to https://manifold.markets/zaperrer/will-kamala-harris-be-president-by

I'm guessing her interrim presidency while Biden got a colinoscopy didn't count, so Biden dying while she's VP also doesn't?

If Biden dies and she becomes president this will resolve yes

I see the chances of this as rather identical to her chances of getting the Dem nomination, because I feel the chance of Trump beating her in a general is about the same as the chance of Biden beating Trump and then dying in office