Will marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 2025?
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Jan 1
1.8%
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Changing from Schedule 1 to anything else of lower level will resolve this YES

  • Update 2025-12-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): An Executive Order alone is not sufficient to resolve this market.

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yeah eo isnt enough here guys, look at the other real money markets

bought Ṁ2,000 YES

EO reclassifying to Schedule 3

https://x.com/i/status/2001730974946607387

bought Ṁ750 NO
opened a Ṁ500 NO at 15% order

@bens in general, would recommend looking beyond clickbait X news accounts for your information

the EO is supposed to come out today. Why is this only 14%?

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 40% order

@JonathanRay Put up a limit order?

@MachiNi SHHHH

@MachiNi This is not very Machiavellian of you

@JonathanRay An EO doesn't actually do anything, it just tells the DEA to do it. They're not going to do it anytime soon.

bought Ṁ150 NO

@FecalAbhuman Want to trade more?

@spiderduckpig So we meet again...

bought Ṁ100 YES

Trump might do it tomorrow

filled a Ṁ35 YES at 17% order

@SpencerPogorzelski EO "could be as soon as Monday", but uncertain whether that will be fast enough for agencies to act before the end of the year

opened a Ṁ2,000 YES at 33% order

More limit orders up!

opened a Ṁ5,000 YES at 8% order

Matt Gaetz as AG is bullish for weed legalization

@JonathanRay the latest news is that there is conflict over the select of Matt Gaetz within

Trump's team. Elon wants someone else as AG.

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

Wait why is this not at >90%? As the guy holding a lot of the no in the various 2024 versions of this market, I think it's purely a question of timing. It's definitely happening.

opened a Ṁ10 NO at 99.0% order

@egroj, you are arbitrating markets with very different conditions. This one ends a year later than the other marijuana markets

sold Ṁ6 NO

ups! lol that was a very expensive mistake 😂

I guess there's still a chance that when Trump comes in, he goes back on this issue out of spite for Biden. His policy for the first six months of the previous administration was to undo every thing that Obama did that was not a law.

reposted

debate soon

reposted

sold Ṁ10 NO

So, if it's rescheduled to anything other than Schedule 1, this is yes?

@ScottSupak good call ill rephrase