Will the first self-sustaining base on Mars begin being established within 20 years as Elon Musk says?
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2045
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resolve YES if a starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2044 with the parts and/or people necessary to establish a permanent city or base

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What does "with the parts and/or people necessary... " mean? Obviously it will not have all of the parts and people necessary to establish a permanent city or base. The tanks that make up most of Starship are parts that a permanent base would need. What would be the difference between having enough to count and not having enough to count?

bought Ṁ5 YES

How does this resolve if SpaceX is rapidly overtaken and made redundant by the first ASI (possibly from X AI but probably from other companies), which starts single-handedly designing, building, and launching missions to build self-sustaining mars bases?

Also does base in this context require biological humans or would any structure housing mobile beings such as AI drones also count?

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