Will Paul Christiano shake the US president's hand by 2027
Plus
33
αΉ29782027
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be in relation to Paul's role in AI Safety, and must be a standing US president
Resolves YES on any conclusive evidence that this has happened
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
Paul Christiano named head of US AI Safety Institute
https://www.businessinsider.com/the-president-of-the-united-states-shakes-about-46000-hands-a-year-2011-6 Base rates are pretty high
For what it's worth, Arc evals and the alignment problem are on Obama's radar π
Related questions
Related questions
Will the certification for the President of the United States be ultimately concluded by January 7, 2025?
99% chance
Will Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu meet in person in year 2027?
13% chance
Will Joe Biden and Donald Trump meet in person in year 2027?
13% chance
Will Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu meet in person in year 2025?
8% chance
Who will Donald Trump shake hands with during his second term? π€
Who will be US President on January 1, 2029?
Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?
57% chance
Will Donald Trump shake hands with Donald Tusk before the end of 2028?
79% chance
Will Dwarkesh Patel interview a current or former US President before 2027?
46% chance
Will there be a third party US president before 2050.
25% chance