Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?
Plus
47
Ṁ72182040
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will you be able to buy a fully autonomous, Level 5 self-driving car in the US by 2040? While the development of self-driving cars is moving quickly, there are still many challenges to overcome before they become widely available.
This question will resolve positively if a Level 5 autonomous car is available for purchase in the US by December 31, 2040. Level 5 refers to "steering wheel optional" autonomy, where the vehicle can perform all required functions with zero intervention.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@MarkIngraham I disagree, Waymo's Taxis are Level 4, because they're limited to only a single region. If Waymo had a ton more cars and was active in 50 US cities instead of like 3, that would 'mean something'.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Level 5 self driving cars be available by (YEAR)?
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
73% chance
Will tesla autopilot reach level 5 by the end of this decade?
81% chance
Which car brands will start selling self-driving cars in 2024?
Will at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?
46% chance
Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?
48% chance
Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?
23% chance
Will Tesla legally deploy Level 4 autonomy somewhere in the world by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will there be an autonomous driving car that can drive reliably in most of India, by 2040?
57% chance
Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2024?
4% chance