What will the unemployment rate be in June 2025?
13
Ṁ10k
resolved Aug 18
Resolved
YES
Above 4%
Resolved
YES
Above 3.5%
Resolved
NO
Above 4.5%
Resolved
NO
Above 5%
Resolved
NO
Above 5.5%

Resolves YES to all markets where the reported Unemployment rate is above the market number. You can see the reported number in FRED here https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE, the June numbers should be updated in the first week of July. I will add more options if market prices indicate bettors expect the unemployment rate to be outside the range indicated here.

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apparently put in the wrong resolution time, but resolved now

bought Ṁ100 Above 3.5% YES

Added above 3.5% since unemployment remains pretty low from last reading in April. Reminder this will resolve in July for the June numbers.