GIMPS discovers new Mersenne prime by EOY 2025?
5
Ṁ140Dec 31
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Great Internet Mersenne Prime Search (GIMPS) announced the discovery of the 52nd known Mersenne prime, 2^136,279,841−1, on October 21, 2024.
This market predicts whether GIMPS will announce another Mersenne prime discovery by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC.
Resolution will be based on official announcements from GIMPS. The exponent must be verified and public by the time of resolution in order to resolve "YES".
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a blank-slate AI prove the infinitude of primes by 2025-11-03?
25% chance
Will a non-Mersenne prime become the largest known prime at some point before 2030-01-01?
40% chance
Will the ordering of the known Mersenne primes be proved by 2030?
91% chance
Will the largest known prime number be non-Mersenne before 2030?
32% chance
Will there be a new largest known prime number by the end of 2025? (Last one - Oct 21 2024)
15% chance
Does there exist more than 51 Mersenne primes below 2^136279841-1?
10% chance
Are there infinitely many Mersenne primes?
94% chance
Will Perplexity be acquired by EOY 2025?
13% chance
Will a projective plane of non-prime-power order be discovered before 2026?
5% chance
Will there be ≥15k confirmed exoplanets by EoY 2025?
30% chance