
Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?
Plus
16
Ṁ2612035
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if I see evidence of revolutions, protests, constitutional changes, etc. on the scale of the Arab Spring in at 3 least Middle East or North African countries within the span of 1 year. Otherwise resolves NO.
Get
1,000and
1.00
Sort by:
‘Largest protests yet’: Masses around country rally against curbing of judiciary: https://www.timesofisrael.com/largest-protests-yet-masses-around-country-rally-against-curbing-of-justice-system/amp/
Related questions
Related questions
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
50% chance
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
21% chance
Will there be a Fatwa issued by a middle eastern country in 2025?
38% chance
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
13% chance
Will Bashar al-Assad survive 2025?
94% chance
Will there be a successful global socialist revolution by 2042?
6% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
14% chance
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?
41% chance
Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?
22% chance
Will Israel be a democracy in 2030?
88% chance