Will a cryptid be confirmed before 2030?
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9
Ṁ518
2030
7%
chance

Resolves Yes if a new species is confirmed matching a known cryptid.

Criteria:

Only significant broadly recognized cryptids that aren’t sub-species of known species will be considered. For example the Wikipedia list of cryptids includes the Eastern Cougar which could be just a cougar living in eastern North America, or the British Big Cat could be a non-domestic puma living in the UK. Both of these would not count for this market.

The creature should be currently considered by the scientific community to not have evidence supporting its existence.

The creature should be rumored to exist and people have claimed to have seen it.

Examples that would definitely resolve Yes:

Loch Ness Monster

Chupacabra

Bigfoot

Grey Aliens

Yeti

Jersey Devil

Mothman 🥵

Thunderbird

Skin-Walker

Satori

Known species thought to be extinct revealed to still be alive will generally not count, but I will hear arguments in extreme cases such as the Megalodon or Moa, where the odds are considered astronomically low but there are still rumors of sightings.

Feel free to ask how I would resolve for specific creatures.

Resolves No January 1st 2030 otherwise.

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There is no evidence I originally bought YES shares on this market instead of NO. If you think you've seen that, you're wrong.