I see no reason to be hasty but I do anticipate closing this soonish.
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
Market will resolve YES if the shooter is found dead
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The shooter does not need to be convicted to resolve YES - being caught/found is sufficient.
@Lop clearance rates for murders in NY are only 50%. I think the fact this murder is atypical probably makes it less likely to be solved, not more. The fact this is trading at 75% reflects the market's belief that the police is going to go the extra mile on this one, because it's a high profile case that involves a rich guy.
@Odoacre I was thinking the same way. Ppl have too much faith in the system. It's not as good as we think it may be.