Will the R21 malaria vaccine be distributed in 15 countries before July 1st, 2025? | Manifold

Will the R21 malaria vaccine be distributed in 15 countries before July 1st, 2025?

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Resolves upon data from the WHO, UNICEF, Gavi, country-specific ministry of health, or a respected international news outlet that confirms rollout in 15 or more countries occurred before July 1st, 2025. Resolves negatively if data from the above sources confirms delivery in fewer than 15 sources, or if no confirmation is made in either direction by January 1st, 2026.
1Day Sooner has an R21 Status Report available here that may be useful.
More malaria-related questions can be found on our Manifold account here.

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3? https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/nigeria-rolls-out-new-oxford-r21-malaria-vaccine-2024-10-17/

https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2024-07-15-c-te-d-ivoire-makes-history-first-nation-deploy-r21matrix-m-malaria-vaccine one down...

Edit: oops, it's actually two https://www.afro.who.int/countries/south-sudan/news/south-sudan-launches-r21-malaria-vaccine-rollout-protect-children

Côte d’Ivoire makes history as first nation to deploy R21/Matrix-M™ Malaria Vaccine | University of Oxford

Today marks the official rollout of the new R21/Matrix-M™ malaria vaccine - co-developed by the University of Oxford and Serum Institute of India, leveraging Novavax’s Matrix-M™ adjuvant technologyIn a historic step in the battle to beat malaria, the first official vaccination is due to take place in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire, this morning and will be subsequently rolled-out

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-3% 1d48% chance

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What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months?

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